How Sustainable Is Rush Poker?
by
on 03-19-2010 at 12:36 AM (1162 Views)
Copied from my Rush Poker blog
Full Tilt has been promoting their Rush Poker creation and working towards patenting it while they pat themselves on the back for a job well done.
But let's not get ahead of ourselves, here's why I believe Rush Poker doesn't have the longevity of "normal" poker.
While I agree this game is great for those who want to dive right in and enjoy action without any wait time, it has some inherent faults that I feel will cause it to fail in the near future.
Poker is a game about volume. In the short term, anyone can be a big winner. They may mistakenly attribute their short term success to their level of skill, when actually variance/luck was on their side and they ran well.
It's the long term that determines who wins and who loses in the end. And it used to be that getting to the long-term could take awhile, it's a lot of volume playing live or even online.
But with the Rush Poker concept, the long term is going to come significantly sooner. And while that's great for the winning players, at least at first, it also means the losing players will reach their long-term sooner as well, and thus be fleeced of their cash by the better players all the more quickly.
When this happens, those losing players may redeposit, or they may disappear altogether. If you fleece the losing players over an extended period of time they're less likely to take notice of their overall losses, making it easier for them to remain in action. But if they lose and lose and lose all the more quickly, it's significantly more likely they will notice this and be less likely to redeposit and keep playing.
Regardless, I think with the long-term being reached sooner, the games profitability will also drop sooner, resulting in tighter games and less fish.
How that can remain sustainable as a popular format will be the challenge that Full Tilt faces. It was certainly innovative, but how can they combat the quicker reduction of the fish pool in these games?























