New Posts
Welcome guest, is this your first visit?
  • Login:
+ Reply to Thread
Page 1 of 3 1 2 3 LastLast
Results 1 to 10 of 21
  1. #1
    ความลับไม่มีในโลก
    My Status
     
    ----
     

    Add as a friend
    Join Date
    Nov 2008
    Location
    ▐▐▐▐▐▐
    Posts
    5,744
    Feedback Score
    48 (100%)

    Default Odds to win CAL Bracket Contest

    ** Do not read this post, if you don't want to know if you've been eliminated **

    Only 3 people still in contention here is probabilities of winning and method needed to clinch victory:

    Jim - 48.8% (exact calculation based on market)
    To clinch: North Carolina and Connecticut win this evening.

    Ryan - 31.9% (estimated via current and futures market)
    To Clinch: Nova wins tonight (probability = 24.1%) -or- North Carolina and Michigan State win tonight and Michigan State wins in final

    Justin - 19.3% (estimated via current and futures market)
    To clinch: Needs to win out (3-0) = North Carolina & Michigan State in finals ( probability = 27.3%) and North Carolina to Win

    (Note: +/- 3% on Ryan and Justin's figures based on futures estimates)

    These are the odds only as of today. For me the odds are simple win both tonight and I clinch, otherwise I'm out. For Ryan if Nova wins tonight he clinches - otherwise he is big dog. If Justin wins both tonight it goes to the final game and he'll be big favorite.

    Yes, very small brag - but wouldn't post this if it wasn't for having done the math and double checking who is eliminated and hopefully saving someone else time if they're thinking about doing same..

    Anyways thanks CAL for the contest and good luck to those left.
    Last edited by Prop; 10-31-2013 at 01:36 AM.
    Betting Sports in the US? 5Dimes has Best Odds (US Players Accepted) - Live elsewhere? PinnacleSports Offers the Best Odds (No US Players)

  2. #2
    NOT A Moderator
    My Status
     
    ----
     

    Add as a friend
    Join Date
    Dec 2008
    Location
    Canada
    Posts
    1,897
    Feedback Score
    13 (100%)

    Default

    I can't see Conn winning. I think we're gunna see Mich and UNC in the finals. Regardless, she's gunna be close.

    No matter what happens, it was awesome and I look forward to doing this again next year.
    Host your sites with a reliable webhost!
    Get quality safe and secure hosting from Garner Hosting.
    Looking for a jack of all trades? Content, coding, templates, mini sites and more.
    Check out Gydian's Affiliate Services thread today! CLICK HERE

  3. #3
    ความลับไม่มีในโลก
    My Status
     
    ----
     

    Add as a friend
    Join Date
    Nov 2008
    Location
    ▐▐▐▐▐▐
    Posts
    5,744
    Feedback Score
    48 (100%)

    Default

    Good call Gydian and Good Luck guys.

    Separate from this contest, but F*** i really underestimated Michigan State. I figured heading into the tournament they hadn't really beat anyone all year other than Texas who was mega overrated as well, so offered them on an exchange at start of tournament. So now pretty much if they win out I take a huge beating. So go anyone but MCST in final
    Betting Sports in the US? 5Dimes has Best Odds (US Players Accepted) - Live elsewhere? PinnacleSports Offers the Best Odds (No US Players)

  4. #4
    MJ
    MJ is offline
    Armchair Quarterback
    My Status
     
    ----
     

    Add as a friend
    Join Date
    Nov 2008
    Location
    USA
    Posts
    5,337
    Blog Entries
    17
    Feedback Score
    44 (100%)

    Default

    We know you need those dual monitors man, take it down and GL!
    Domains I am selling at bargain prices: http://www.pokeraffiliatelistings.co...tml#post178840

  5. #5
    Livin the dream!
    My Status
     
    ----
     

    Add as a friend
    Join Date
    Jan 2009
    Location
    Morton, Illinois, United States
    Posts
    601
    Blog Entries
    1
    Feedback Score
    16 (100%)

    Default

    Well NOVA sucks.... At least I still have a chance... Small chance Go Spartans!

  6. #6
    Livin the dream!
    My Status
     
    ----
     

    Add as a friend
    Join Date
    Jan 2009
    Location
    Morton, Illinois, United States
    Posts
    601
    Blog Entries
    1
    Feedback Score
    16 (100%)

    Default

    Alright... Comes down to this. Need Spartans for the Dual monitors... Izzo Mania!

  7. #7
    imported_Tommy
    Guest
    My Status
     
    ----
     

    Default

    This is going to be a great game to watch tonight. Anyone think Michigan State can pull it off?

  8. #8
    NOT A Moderator
    My Status
     
    ----
     

    Add as a friend
    Join Date
    Dec 2008
    Location
    Canada
    Posts
    1,897
    Feedback Score
    13 (100%)

    Default

    I'd love to see Mich St. win. That'd be an amazing upset.
    Host your sites with a reliable webhost!
    Get quality safe and secure hosting from Garner Hosting.
    Looking for a jack of all trades? Content, coding, templates, mini sites and more.
    Check out Gydian's Affiliate Services thread today! CLICK HERE

  9. #9
    Resident Bingo Expert
    My Status
     
    ----
     

    Add as a friend
    Join Date
    Nov 2008
    Location
    United States
    Posts
    724
    Blog Entries
    11
    Feedback Score
    0

    Default

    I dont think there a chance in the world that Michigan State will win. However, it's going to be fun to see and someone here is going to be the big winner! Good Luck all!


    Email - gregdpowell@gmail.com
    Facebook.com/gregdpowell
    Skype: gregdpowell

  10. #10
    ความลับไม่มีในโลก
    My Status
     
    ----
     

    Add as a friend
    Join Date
    Nov 2008
    Location
    ▐▐▐▐▐▐
    Posts
    5,744
    Feedback Score
    48 (100%)

    Default

    Congrats Justin
    Betting Sports in the US? 5Dimes has Best Odds (US Players Accepted) - Live elsewhere? PinnacleSports Offers the Best Odds (No US Players)


 

Thread Information

Users Browsing this Thread

There are currently 1 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 1 guests)

     

Similar Threads

  1. PAL NCAA Bracket Results
    By Jeremy in forum General Poker Affiliate Forum
    Replies: 17
    Last Post: 04-12-2010, 02:51 PM
  2. Official 2010 NCAA PAL Bracket Contest
    By Jeremy in forum General Poker Affiliate Forum
    Replies: 103
    Last Post: 03-30-2010, 11:14 AM
  3. March Madness Bracket help
    By gooderpoker in forum General Poker Affiliate Forum
    Replies: 0
    Last Post: 03-10-2010, 12:46 PM
  4. CAL 2009 NCAA Bracket Contest
    By imported_Tommy in forum Casino Affiliate Forum
    Replies: 76
    Last Post: 04-10-2009, 05:24 AM
  5. Get banned from PAP contest
    By MPC in forum General Poker Affiliate Forum
    Replies: 53
    Last Post: 11-23-2008, 10:08 AM

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
Powered by vBulletin® Version 4.1.5
Copyright © 2014 vBulletin Solutions, Inc. All rights reserved.
SEO by vBSEO 3.6.0