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Thread: Is right now a good time to invest?

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    Default Is right now a good time to invest?

    After the USA reached a deal about the fiscal cliff this week, shares began to soar across multiple economies. In the next couple of months, another deal will need to be made to address the debt ceiling issue. Although the USA seems to be in the process of recovering from its enormous debt troubles, do you think right now is a good time to invest? And if not, when do you think would be a good time? I don't see the USA completely fixing their debt crisis for a very long time (if ever). Although things are looking better, there is still a lot of work that needs to be done to fix up the world's largest economy.

    Would love to hear some thoughts from anyone who has knowledge about the share market, or regularly invests in a variety of local and international shares. Cheers
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    The US is not addressing its debt problems. They just reached a deal to avoid actual cuts. The deficit is still massive hence the need to increase the debt ceiling yet again. Not to mention the trillions in unfunded liabilities in entitlement programs which were also barely touched with this deal.

    We still have a long way to go. Investing is such a crap shoot anymore given how much government intervenes in the economy. I suggest running for office or making friends with a DC insider to get an inside track.

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    Answering a question like this is dependent on an individuals current investing situation, however, it's generally a bad idea to try and time the market. Professional investors often fail at timing the market, so it doesn't make a whole lot of sense to try it on your own.

    Here's an example:

    In the last week or so (leading up to the fiscal cliff), I've heard about a lot of people reducing their exposure to the market, or some going as far as putting their entire portfolio into a money market account with the intention of buying back after a deal was struck. If somebody timed that perfectly they made out ok, but if they weren't able to buy back in on the the 2nd (before the market went up), they actually would have lost money. If you left your investments as-is (assuming you already have a properly diversified portfolio) you would have made money. Obviously, this could have went in another direction if a deal wasn't struck, but it's just to show you that timing the market is something that experts struggle with, so it would be foolish to think you could successfully do it on your own.

    Also, just to make it clear, in regards to being able to successfully time the market everything I've said is based on long-term results. Anybody can have success timing the market at a certain point, but in the long-run the average investor would fail to adequately time the market.

    Most investors would find it to be much simpler to just follow an indexing approach to their portfolio. It's more efficient and you won't have to worry about situations like this when you're contemplating whether it's the right time to invest or not.

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    IMHO, the best investment you can make in 2013 is into your own business vs. some other companies manipulated stock. I'd rather invest in new websites or businesses that I can actually control. There's plenty of money to be made in the stock market, however the house of cards known as the NYSE is going to collapse at some point in the near future. A lot of people were left holding the bag in 2007 / 2008 the last time the bubble burst and the markets tanked. Personally, I'd rather not relive that experience again.

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    It's always a good time to invest, but where you choose to make your investment will decide whether or not it was a good investment.

    I'd only invest in businesses, that I could either continue to build or sell for money in a few months after I'm done with it.


 

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