How long will domains hold value for?

[TheDonk]

3D and virtual internet is coming...soon. Most people have NO IDEA the crazy cool shit that is coming. In fact, some insanely advanced things are already ready to go, once the prices for manufacturing come down. Look into microelectrolmechanical systems (aka micro-electro-mechanical systems, aka MEMS) technology and you'll find some serious Star Trek stuff coming down the pipeline. This stuff isn't new either, MEMS have been in development for many, many years now. They are in use currently in all sorts of things. But here's the key...

...eventually they will replace your monitor, in favor of a chip (so small that it can't be seen by the naked eye) embedded in a regular, standard pair of glasses. This will create a fully immersive (immersion) 3D environment that will smoke everything we have now. This is right around the corner, not decades away. So...

...when this comes, any number of things could happen. It could be a new .3d extension, multiple varieties of 3d extensions, or ?? There could be an entirely new way to log on to your favorite sites, ways that we can't think of yet. (Gonna be a big, new business for software & web developers with the capability to create these sites, hint hint)

Since the current internet is built around .com's, .net etc., they will have to stick around or be grandfathered into a new system to keep their respective value. I can picture a web without .com's, .net's etc, replaced by a new system where those who adjust the design of their sites to mate with the new web will continue to hold ranking, where those that don't lose value over time. I think that sites which comply with the new 3d technology would likely be valued higher than sites that don't..standard .com's, etc..

So, this is a way out there guess of course, but you asked for 10+ years out, so that's what I'm thinking about. So my way out there guess is that yes, .com's, .net's etc will have a time when they could lose value...but that will be based on how the owner of the site adjusts to the changes of the web. Make the changes, keep the value. Don't and you don't. That's not really any different from how it is now anyway.

In case you'd like a tease about MEMS technology...these are things being developed (and in some cases in use) now...

Imagine a car tire that becomes harder at high speed in dry conditions, improving gas mileage and providing longer tire life. When it starts to rain, you go around a corner, or driving conditions are bad (poor road quality), the tire becomes softer for better traction. Goodyear has been working on this for 15+ years using MEMS.

US Navy Seals currently use a variety of wearable displays that show them info from HQ, ie terrain over the hill, around the building, highlighting targets etc etc. You can see that here at Microvision. Wearable displays will also be used for car mechanics to show them how parts go together...displaying right on top of the area they're working on. This also applies to airplanes, architects...you name it.

One thing that is cool about certain MEMS technology is that they can do double duty - display system as well as cameras via mirrors. This means that you will be able to talk to your mom on your iPhone with a little doohickie on it that extends out a few inches. Because it's a mirror, it will project her image in your eyes in 3D, and yours to her also in 3D...like she's right in front of you. This was done years ago, and my guess is we'll see it on the market before 2020.

There is so much to talk about with all this, but if anyone is interested in knowing more, I'm pretty sure you already know how to google.

Cool stuff is coming - soon!

One last thought. My great, great grandfather was a personal friend of Henry Ford, they even built two houses together and lived together for a while. Well, my g.g. grandfather was a pioneer in mail order marketing. His niche was bicycles and he became a millionaire around the turn of the 20th century by sending bicycles all over the country. At one point he owned all of what is now Glendale, California, and about half of Burbank (WB, Disney, NBC studios etc..). He built apartments and houses and all kinds of shit and helped develop those areas from orange groves into actual cities. So, a sharp guy right?

In the early, early 1900's, his buddy Henry Ford asked O.C. (my gg grandpa) to open Henry's first Ford dealer on the west coast. O.C. said no because he thought those car things were a ridiculous fad for the rich. They cost money to maintain and fuel, and at the time didn't go a whole lot faster than a bicycle which was easy to maintain and cost nothing for gas. Over the next few years, O.C. saw more and more Fords all over the place, the prices coming down, and his bicycle sales declined big time.

A few years later, he sold his bicycle business and became the proud owner of one of the first Ford dealers on the west coast. Unfortunately, he had also sold some of his property to a guy who built the first Ford dealer in the area, and had already established his business. Since he was late in the game, O.C. never made the kind of money in the car business as he could have had he been able to see Ford's vision earlier on.

[superiorword]

One last thought. My great, great grandfather was a personal friend of Henry Ford, they even built two houses together and lived together for a while. Well, my g.g. grandfather was a pioneer in mail order marketing. His niche was bicycles and he became a millionaire around the turn of the 20th century by sending bicycles all over the country. At one point he owned all of what is now Glendale, California, and about half of Burbank (WB, Disney, NBC studios etc..). He built apartments and houses and all kinds of shit and helped develop those areas from orange groves into actual cities. So, a sharp guy right?

In the early, early 1900's, his buddy Henry Ford asked O.C. (my gg grandpa) to open Henry's first Ford dealer on the west coast. O.C. said no because he thought those car things were a ridiculous fad for the rich. They cost money to maintain and fuel, and at the time didn't go a whole lot faster than a bicycle which was easy to maintain and cost nothing for gas. Over the next few years, O.C. saw more and more Fords all over the place, the prices coming down, and his bicycle sales declined big time.

A few years later, he sold his bicycle business and became the proud owner of one of the first Ford dealers on the west coast. Unfortunately, he had also sold some of his property to a guy who built the first Ford dealer in the area, and had already established his business. Since he was late in the game, O.C. never made the kind of money in the car business as he could have had he been able to see Ford's vision earlier on.

Wow great story! Thanks for sharing.

[ak]

Good thread...

Thanks for all the info

[jdwanchalk]

the internet is not going away for sure. But it seems inevitable at some point use of other tlds has to become common doesn't it?

Do .net and .org hold value long term, or only .com? Say 50 years from now you think .com, .net, .org in that order still?

I think it would be natural for a few other TLDs to gain popularity. For all we know, .tts will be the domain to have in 20 years.