Lakers -7 Tonight

[Jeremy]

Can someone PM Greg Powell a good suicide hotline for this evening. Although I may actually roll the dice and take Bostin to cover. Anyone else betting this game?

[actyper]

-7 is pretty high for a game 7, but no Perkins does not look good for Bos. I might take Bos though

[Stocks]

I had $500 on the lakers to win the series and I think they will win so no bets for me on this game but I think Boston +7 would be the play here

[AceHigh Pino]

Agreed - Boston is a pretty safe bet with that line....even with Perkins out I'm surprised at such a high line on the Lakers. I don't think Kobe and them are gonna outright run over the Celtics like they did in Game 6. A different atmosphere and intensity will definitely be on display tonight, and I fully expect Rondo, Allen and Pierce to at least pretend to show up this time around - lol.

[Knup]

Boston +7 is the play guys!

[KevinMcC]

I hit my $100 Boston +7 bet ... it looked so good throughout most of the game, but of course they had to make me nervous near the end. It was just such a big line for a Game 7 it was hard not to take, congrats to the others that took it too

[pokerprop]

Results and being on right side are the same, but the logic as to why was all fail ITT .

What's the average margin on home team victory in NBA game 7s? What's the historic line? I'm pretty sure the home team has won something like 80% of all game 7's in NBA history and while I don't have a database here I'd guess the average margin of victory is probably double digits.

Anyways I didn't bet the game, and sounds like a lot here did all taking right side so congrats. Just pointing out if making a bet because someone says "its a high line" and doesn't have evidence to support it is donkey betting which is fine - that's what most people enjoy and if your betting for recreation great no worries. Some of you guys might run betting portals though so that's why I brought it up. I haven;t dug deep but i think the claim because it was a high line is unsubstantiated and I don't think any evidence to suggest this exists (though perhaps I'm wrong).

Anyways congrats again, and sorry for the rant.

[Stocks]

Interesting 80% sounds about right but I dont know about double digits that sounds a bit high. I did'nt bet the game either because I only bet a few regular season trends for NBA but theres more to betting than historic trends. Take some trends from the 60's 70's 80's and many dont apply anymore because the game had changed and betting has changed.

Anyway like I mentioned above I did'nt bet this game but there were several good trends and reasons why I felt Boston +7 was a good bet.

Results and being on right side are the same, but the logic as to why was all fail ITT .

What's the average margin on home team victory in NBA game 7s? What's the historic line? I'm pretty sure the home team has won something like 80% of all game 7's in NBA history and while I don't have a database here I'd guess the average margin of victory is probably double digits.

Anyways I didn't bet the game, and sounds like a lot here did all taking right side so congrats. Just pointing out if making a bet because someone says "its a high line" and doesn't have evidence to support it is donkey betting which is fine - that's what most people enjoy and if your betting for recreation great no worries. Some of you guys might run betting portals though so that's why I brought it up. I haven;t dug deep but i think the claim because it was a high line is unsubstantiated and I don't think any evidence to suggest this exists (though perhaps I'm wrong).

Anyways congrats again, and sorry for the rant.

[pokerprop]

I agree Boston was a good bet. Generally anytime a road dog just got embarrassed their last game Boston is a good play. I only brought up historical data because someone else mentioned it and without looking it seemed like such a silly comment thinking just from own memory general knowledge it was unlikely true.

Serious now is first time I looked (right now in after reading your post). Since 2005 there have been 14 game 7's in the NBA playoffs prior to the game. Here are the margin of victories: 7, 31, 18, 8, 20, 4, 34, 5, 9, 10, 13, 19, 19, 21

A comment of it being a high line for a game 7 to me implies game 7's are usually close games. I didn't need to look at stats to know this is not the case, generally game 7's are decisive wins.

[Stocks]

Ok I see why you brought it up I did'nt read Kevins post about game 7's. But your right game 7's usually dont seem to be close I'm surprised to see so many blowouts I guess its a good thinhg I dont bet NBA playoffs then lol.

Just out of curiosity do you have any stats for totals for game 7's I would think they would lean towards the under.