NFL Prop Bet Offer to PAL - 6 Teams Not to Make the NFL Playoffs

[alex_c]

This Eagles 'dream team' would have been a great shout.

By no means am isaying Bring back Donovan, i think Vick is great but seriously need an O-line that will protect. Personally think the money could have been far better utilized.

[JTJagger]

pokerprop et al,
If pokerprop can't take any more action, I will book any action anyone wants.
Similarly pokerprop, if you want to hedge out, I will take it all.

[pokerprop]

Looks like Denver is the big sweat for both you guys who shared picks. I'm pretty much around even booking these this year regardless of outcome. Is a few fluke scenarios that could play out that look extremely unlikely that would change that.

Anyways this is a very good prop to offer friends. Each year there is at most there one combo of six picks that is +EV and very few ever take it. The biggest mistake is usually picking two teams from the same division (amazingly common) though there are times it is debatable. Each year I have a couple people end up doing this twice (using 4 of their picks over two divisions). Ultimately this isn't a sucker bet, it just happens to play out that way due to selections. The good news when dealing with people who will pay - is you generally have losers determined before winners (certain teams clinch, while everyone else still has teams pending that offset each other). Therefore keeping a low minimum small max ($100 min / $500 max) can take a lot of action on this without fear of losing too much. Obviously if too many people take one side, can always hedge it out later in season or on specific key games (though so far never had to bother with this or ever sat with much risk on this prop).

Anways good luck guys.

[ak]

ESPN Stats & Information has just released division scenarios. Each team in the AFC West is still alive. Here is how it breaks down:

How Broncos Can Win AFC West:

1) Denver wins last 2 games

OR

2) Denver beats Kansas City in Week 17

OR

3) Denver beats Buffalo in Week 16 AND Oakland loses 1 of last 2 games

OR

4) Oakland beats Kansas City in Week 16 AND San Diego loses to Detroit in Week 16 AND San Diego beats Oakland in Week 17

How Raiders Can Win AFC West:

1) Oakland wins last 2 games AND Denver loses to Kansas City in Week 17

How Chargers Can Win AFC West:

1) San Diego wins last 2 games AND Denver loses last 2 games

How Chiefs Can Win AFC West:

1) Kansas City wins last 2 games AND Denver loses last 2 games AND San Diego loses 1 of last 2 games

AFC West division title scenarios - AFC West Blog - ESPN

[AceHigh Pino]

Need the PP addy to send the cash to - GG $300 :P

Merry Xmas EVE

[Stocks]

I think I'm still alive for week 17.

Not sure if this is right but tv said the other day Denver needs to win the division to make the playoffs they lose a wild card tie breaker and the Bengals need to win to make the playoffs if the Jets or Titans win I guess they lose the wild card tie breaker aswell?

So if thats correct I need

1. KC to beat Denver
2. Baltimore to beat the Bengals
3. Oakland to beat San Diego
4. Jets or Titans to win?

Its a long shot but doable. KC might be in tuff in Denver

[ak]

You need KC and Oakland to win if you have Denver on the not go to playoff list

[Scott]

Yeah this past week sucked... We wanted KC to beat OAK, so that KC had a reason to beat DEN this week... Oh well... Easy come easy go...

[ak]

Oakland sucked donkey balls.