Sports Betting Revenue Share or CPA?

[imteaz]

I have just started a sports betting site about 2 months ago. Got some sign ups and deposit but seems my bettor never lose? So far 5 bettor bets 282 times and 90% times they won! very strange.

Do you think i made a mistake? i think i should go with CPA.

how are you doing with betting revenue share?

[ak]

Revshare used to be the way to go, go with good cpa now.. The sportsbook might not be around next month.

[pokerprop]

Revshare used to be the way to go, go with good cpa now.. The sportsbook might not be around next month.

Funny how everyone always assumes affiliating only exists at sites that take US players

Anyways @OP

5 players is far too small of a sample size to determine either way.

Also: I posted a lot on CPA/Rev share last week. Filter through my May posts for anything that looks like it might relate and might be able to draw some value out of it.

Edit: in before 19 CPA for sure posts follow.

[KevinMcC]

As long as the sportsbooks you promote are in good history and you think they will be around for a while I would go with Rev Share. I think a lot of sports bettors will sign up for 1 or 2 sportsbooks and be loyal to those 1 or 2 almost for lifetime (as long as cashouts, customer support, etc are reasonable).

[Prenut]

Is this Party Bets or Gamebookers? Then be prepared to sign up all world class sports bettors that rarely lose.

[pokerprop]

Is this Party Bets or Gamebookers? Then be prepared to sign up all world class sports bettors that rarely lose.

I was thinking the same thing when I read 90% win rate, my first though was no way. But then I though wait could be scenarios where a small amount of 1.01 bets are made at sites that use only two decimals and this combined with minor league tennis, international basketball and hockey in minor markets (plus any other angles I probably know nothing about) then there is your 90% win rate. In any case from affiliate side you'd just need to do bigger numbers as eventually these players will eventually be cut off, and also in time you'll end up with the other side of the market. I suppose on rev share variance can be a bitch but even at the professional friendly sites it balances out in time. Although, I'm $60,000 in the makeup at what used to be a profitable affiliate account, my numbers too small to conclusive.. though what I have drawn over this account prior to getting so deep has paid far more than rev share ever would (again variance? no idea sample is too small)

[imteaz]

Is this Party Bets or Gamebookers? Then be prepared to sign up all world class sports bettors that rarely lose.

Yes it is party bets.

Also same goes to Bet365 deposit 30,781.08 turnover 66,688.01 number of bets 1,036
put my account - 4,800, they just keep winning..

i better don't waste time on sports betting... poker is much better.

[Race Media]

Revenue share definitely.

The thing to remember is sports bettting only work on margins of between 3-8% - therefore you expected returns will only be between those figures of turnover. Son on $66k turnover expected win might only be around $2-3K.

Of course it differs sport to sport and some sports have consistent winners, while race for instance uses margins over 10% and a higher expected revenue.

If you don't have turnover of around $500k in your account then you income can be skewed by one or two big bets or lucky punters. It will even out over time. There are very few long time winning sports bettors and those that are usually get limited or banned from smart bookies.

Also I would be sticking with the serious brand name bookmakers

[ak]

Net Loss lifetime is the way to go always has been but with the new roller coaster ride I think its safe to say go with CPA until the weather clears.

[Prenut]

While Party Poker has always been one of the best brands for poker, their sports betting products are pure shit from an affiliate standpoint. I have a few thousand players there and they make little to nothing, with probably 75% months in the negative for both Gamebookers and PartyBets. Something just isn't right with how they are figuring revenues for these products. I have asked and been promised deposit/withdrawal statements a few times, but have yet to receive them. I have had quite a few months start great the first 15 days or so, and inevitably the month finishes pure shit every single time.